"The Changing Monsoon and its Manifold Implications" a talk by Dr. M. Rajeevan at Teen Murti House, Teen Murti Marg > 3pm on 13th November 2013
Time : 3:00 pm
Entry : Free (Seating on First-Come First-Served basis)
Place : Seminar Room, Library Building, Nehru Memorial Museum & Library (NMML), Teen Murti House, Teen Murti Marg, New Delhi - 110011
Venue Info : Events | About | Map | Nearest Metro Station - 'Race Course(Yellow Line)'
Event Description : The Nehru Memorial Museum and Library cordially invites you to a Public Lecture (in the ‘Science, Society and Nature’ series) on ‘The Changing Monsoon and its Manifold Implications’ by Dr. M. Rajeevan, Earth System Science Organization (ESSO), Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi.
Abstract : The Indian summer monsoon is an important component of the global climate system. A major portion of the annual rainfall over India is received during the southwest (summer) monsoon season (June–September). Although the amplitude of the variation of monsoon rainfall from year to year is not large, it has a substantial impact on the agricultural production in the country, thus implies a large impact on the economy of the country. There is now unequivocal evidence that the earth’s surface has warmed during the past 100 years, which is mainly attributed to the anthropogenic activity. Among the regional manifestations of global warming, the Indian summer monsoon also could be susceptible.
An analysis of past observational data suggests that there is no long term trend in monsoon rainfall averaged over the country. However, there are regional rainfall trends which are statistically significant. For example, eastern parts of central India and Kerala experience decreasing trend in seasonal monsoon rainfall. However, there is an increasing trend in extreme rainfall events over the country. Rainfall events with more than 15 cm per day have been increasing during the recent years. This suggests more probability of flash floods over the country.
To know about our future climate, we use climate models (mathematical models) to understand future climate changes using different scenarios of emission of greenhouse gases. The latest climate model simulations suggest that all India precipitation is likely to increase, primarily due to increase in amount of water vapour in the atmosphere. However, these models also suggest a further increase in extreme rainfall events and thus flash floods over the country.
The observed climate variability and future climate change may have different impacts on many important sectors like agriculture, water resources, disaster management and health. The details of the impacts due to changes in monsoon climate will be also discussed.
Speaker : Dr. M. Rajeevan works at the Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi
Related Events : Talks | Environment

Entry : Free (Seating on First-Come First-Served basis)
Place : Seminar Room, Library Building, Nehru Memorial Museum & Library (NMML), Teen Murti House, Teen Murti Marg, New Delhi - 110011
Venue Info : Events | About | Map | Nearest Metro Station - 'Race Course(Yellow Line)'
Event Description : The Nehru Memorial Museum and Library cordially invites you to a Public Lecture (in the ‘Science, Society and Nature’ series) on ‘The Changing Monsoon and its Manifold Implications’ by Dr. M. Rajeevan, Earth System Science Organization (ESSO), Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi.
Abstract : The Indian summer monsoon is an important component of the global climate system. A major portion of the annual rainfall over India is received during the southwest (summer) monsoon season (June–September). Although the amplitude of the variation of monsoon rainfall from year to year is not large, it has a substantial impact on the agricultural production in the country, thus implies a large impact on the economy of the country. There is now unequivocal evidence that the earth’s surface has warmed during the past 100 years, which is mainly attributed to the anthropogenic activity. Among the regional manifestations of global warming, the Indian summer monsoon also could be susceptible.
An analysis of past observational data suggests that there is no long term trend in monsoon rainfall averaged over the country. However, there are regional rainfall trends which are statistically significant. For example, eastern parts of central India and Kerala experience decreasing trend in seasonal monsoon rainfall. However, there is an increasing trend in extreme rainfall events over the country. Rainfall events with more than 15 cm per day have been increasing during the recent years. This suggests more probability of flash floods over the country.
To know about our future climate, we use climate models (mathematical models) to understand future climate changes using different scenarios of emission of greenhouse gases. The latest climate model simulations suggest that all India precipitation is likely to increase, primarily due to increase in amount of water vapour in the atmosphere. However, these models also suggest a further increase in extreme rainfall events and thus flash floods over the country.
The observed climate variability and future climate change may have different impacts on many important sectors like agriculture, water resources, disaster management and health. The details of the impacts due to changes in monsoon climate will be also discussed.
Speaker : Dr. M. Rajeevan works at the Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi
Related Events : Talks | Environment
"The Changing Monsoon and its Manifold Implications" a talk by Dr. M. Rajeevan at Teen Murti House, Teen Murti Marg > 3pm on 13th November 2013
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Wednesday, November 13, 2013
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